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Yves right here. I’ve to confess to affected by a scarcity of enough creativeness. Once I noticed the tweet beneath from guurst, I assumed the motive was to place US/NATO ships in danger in order to strengthen the US case for different international locations to affix the inaptly named Operation Prosperity Guardian, to guard industrial industrial ships transiting from Houthi hearth (as we and lots of others have described, a lot simpler mentioned than executed). Over my pay grade, however one wonders why the numerous international locations that opposed Israeli motion in Gaza would go alongside (assuming they’re). However having Chinese language, Iranian and Indian warships in theater to maintain tabs on the doubtless not pleasant Operation Prosperity Guardian warships.
IMPORTANT 🚨’Israel’ is endangering the world within the Crimson Sea:
On the beggining of operations, Yemen spokesperson instructed vessels to maintain their Computerized Identification Programs (AIS) ON and that 𝗼𝗻𝗹𝘆 𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝗲𝗻 𝗿𝗼𝘂𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗜𝘀𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲… pic.twitter.com/LEVfckHLIb
— Army Eye (@MilitaryEye) December 20, 2023
By John Helmer, the longest constantly serving overseas correspondent in Russia, and the one western journalist to direct his personal bureau impartial of single nationwide or industrial ties. Helmer has additionally been a professor of political science, and an advisor to authorities heads in Greece, the US, and Asia. He’s the primary and solely member of a US presidential administration (Jimmy Carter) to ascertain himself in Russia. Initially printed at Dances with Bears
A Russian navy weblog publish posted on Thursday, December 21 at 11:33 Moscow time, has revealed the hitherto secret positions of all warships within the space which the Pentagon has introduced for its OPERATION PROSPERITY GUARDIAN.
The recent knowledge and the open map (lead picture) weren’t accessible when yesterday’s report was printed at 09:32 Moscow time of Russia’s “two-track” technique for opposing the US and NATO, and for safeguarding Russian oil shipments whereas the Houthi drone and missile operations are beneath means in opposition to Israel.
No Russian Navy vessel is within the space at current though Russian crude oil cargoes are transferring by the Crimson Sea with Iranian and Houthi settlement. As a result of these ship actions are defying US and NATO sanctions, it has been determined in Moscow to barter secure passage with Iran and Yemen somewhat than deploy the Russian Navy to guard them. Nonetheless, the brand new mixed US and NATO operation, concentrating on the Houthis and their Iranian assist and provide methods, will increase the opportunity of a direct American, allied, or false-flagged assault on a tanker carrying Russian oil.
In yesterday’s morning report, I indicated that “the present whereabouts of the [Chinese] warship group has not been reported within the open press.”
The Russian supply map is now reporting that the Chinese language Navy’s forty fifth Escort Job Pressure, comprising the Kind-052 destroyer Urumqi, the Kind-547 frigate Linyi, and provide ship Dongpinghu had been at berth on the Chinese language base at Djibouti as of Wednesday, December 20.
The Russian map additionally reveals that the Iranian vessel MV Behshad is in a standing place within the Crimson Sea (lead picture, prime left of map). In line with the Russian supply, it’s working as an digital surveillance, command and management centre to observe pleasant state ship actions – Russian, Chinese language, Indian – and in addition hostile vessels of the US, British and French navies, monitoring their positions; and relaying the info to Iran and possibly to shore positions in Yemen. Though US media and Pentagon statements accuse the Ansar Allah authorities in Yemen and Houthi forces of appearing as Iranian proxies within the warfare in opposition to Israel, there was no disclosure prior to now of this vessel within the Crimson Sea.
In line with the western vessel monitoring service VesselFinder, the Behshad is a “basic cargo ship” flagged by Iran. It reportedly sailed from the port of the Iran Shipbuilding and Offshore Industries Advanced (ISOICO) to achieve its present place, which VesselFinder confirms within the southern half of the Crimson Sea as of fifteen minutes in the past. The western supply reviews the vessel is at anchor in 6.5 metres of water.
Within the Pentagon announcement of December 18, US Secretary of Protection Lloyd Austin claimed that “Operation Prosperity Guardian is bringing collectively a number of international locations to incorporate the UK, Bahrain, Canada, France, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Seychelles and Spain, to collectively deal with safety challenges within the southern Crimson Sea and the Gulf of Aden, with the aim of making certain freedom of navigation for all international locations and bolstering regional safety and prosperity.” The brand new Russian intelligence now makes clear that the UK, France and Spain are already within the area, with the US.
After Austin’s assertion, his Italian counterpart introduced that Italy is dispatching a frigate “to guard the prosperity of commerce and assure freedom of navigation and worldwide regulation…to extend the presence within the space as a way to create the situations for stabilization, keep away from ecological disasters and in addition forestall a resumption of the inflationary push.”
The Greek Protection Minister Nikos Dendias adopted the Italian to say that Greece too is sending a frigate to affix the US operation. Dendias is claiming the reason being that Greece is “the nation with the most important ocean-going fleet [and so] has a main curiosity in preserving the liberty of maritime zones and defending the lives of seafarers.” What he means is that the involvement of Greek shipowners within the sanctions-busting Russian oil commerce has been so worthwhile, Dendias desires to guard the Greek tankers and their homeowners; and on the identical time keep away from the embarrassment of being so disloyal to the US and European Union sanctions regime.
In the interim, no Russian Navy vessel is reported within the Crimson Sea space, though reviews point out that the submarine Ufa is heading eastwards throughout the Mediterranean with a floor assist vessel, and is prone to transit the Suez Canal and the Crimson Sea quickly.
The brand new improved Kilo-class Ufa in St. Petersburg after commissioning in November 2022. It has been assigned to the Pacific Fleet.
For evaluation of present Russian operations, plans, and coverage, click on to learn this.
For the total map show, together with the Israeli port of Eilat and the Persian Gulf ports and naval bases, click on to open for an enlarged view.
The presence of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Navy’s destroyer Yang Man-chun was reported when it left its residence port in September to be for a six-month mission to fight piracy and threats in opposition to cargo shipments headed to and from Korea. The map reveals it’s at present off the Somali coast, close to Indian, British, and US Navy vessels, in addition to the Japanese Navy’s destroyer, JS Akebono.
This warship has been in “coaching” with the USS Mason and the Eisenhower service squadron, however the Japanese are claiming it’s engaged in “maritime safety patrols within the GoA [Gulf of Aden], however will not be concerned within the new Operation Prosperity Guardian.”
The JS Akebono (rear) and the USS Mason working collectively within the Gulf of Aden on November 25.
Operationally, US Navy releases point out that the Japanese and the Korean destroyers are “working in coordination with U.S. Naval Forces Central Command” to fight each Somali pirates and Houthi operations.
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