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Joyce Vance/”Civil Discourse” on Substack:
Jack Smith’s Daring Transfer
The difficulty comes all the way down to this: Is Trump immune from prison prosecution for the remainder of his life for any acts he dedicated whereas president? In different phrases, is he above the regulation? Or can he be, as Jack Smith argues, prosecuted as soon as he leaves the White Home.
The Supreme Court docket has by no means determined this concern earlier than. And it needs to be determined, as a result of if it goes in Trump’s favor, the case is dismissed and there shall be no trial. I don’t assume anybody expects that would be the consequence right here, though you by no means know with the Supreme Court docket. However Smith is asking them to inform Trump that immunity (and double jeopardy, an argument with even much less advantage than immunity) is off the desk so the case can proceed to trial.
It’s too early to do horse race polling, however if you wish to have a look at a ballot, have a look at those that ask about convictions.
CNN:
NY appeals court docket palms Trump one other defeat over gag order
A New York appellate court docket rejected Donald Trump’s problem of the gag order in his civil fraud trial Thursday. Trump’s attorneys petitioned the court docket over the gag order that bars him and the attorneys from talking publicly about Decide Arthur Engoron’s court docket workers.
In rejecting the problem Thursday, the appeals court docket stated Trump didn’t use the correct authorized car to problem the gag order and sanctions.
The appellate court docket in one other order Thursday additionally rejected a Trump request to permit his authorized staff to hunt a assessment of the gag order by the Court docket of Appeals, New York’s highest court docket.
Trial testimony ended Wednesday after 11 weeks in court docket.
The events are scheduled to file supplemental briefs within the case January 5 and return to court docket for oral arguments January 11 earlier than Engoron renders a last verdict.
And on that be aware, be mindful how typically Trump is dropping in court docket, aside from some delay strikes.
On the “vibes vs. the financial system” debate, Nate Cohn/The New York Instances:
Current optimistic information might put two theories on financial disenchantment to the check.
Sure, voters are upset about excessive costs, and costs are certainly excessive. This simply and even utterly explains why voters assume this financial system is mediocre: Within the period of shopper sentiment information, inflation has by no means risen so excessive with out pushing shopper sentiment beneath common and often nicely beneath common. This half just isn’t difficult.
Nevertheless it’s tougher to argue that voters ought to imagine the financial system is outright horrible, even after accounting for inflation. Again in early 2022, I estimated that shopper confidence was operating at the least 10 to fifteen proportion factors worse than one would count on traditionally, after accounting for costs and actual disposable revenue.
In that regard, think about the next headlines:
CNN: Dow surges to new report as Fed indicators three charge cuts in 2024
New York Instances: Is Jerome Powell’s Fed Pulling Off a Smooth Touchdown?
New York Instances: The Markets Are Getting Forward of the Fed
CNBC: Dow rises to contemporary report after extra robust financial information, falling charges
Reuters: US financial system nonetheless resilient as retail gross sales beat expectations, layoffs keep low
Take into account additionally that weak Chinese language financial development is more likely to depress oil demand for a while.
Jill Lawrence/The Bulwark:
Impeachment Is Simply One other Phrase for Getting Even. Thanks, GOP.
Accountability is on life assist and even Jack Smith might not reserve it.
No information? No drawback. Home Republicans plan to launch an official Biden impeachment inquiry this week—if they will wrangle sufficient votes from their minuscule, divided majority. Greene predicted two months earlier than the 2022 midterms that there can be “lots of investigations” if the GOP received the Home. It’s the Democrats’ fault, she instructed writer Robert Draper, as a result of they began it with their “witch hunts” in opposition to Trump. She launched an impeachment decision in opposition to Biden the day after he took workplace.
The Related Press:
The Republican main the probe of Hunter Biden has his personal shell firm and sophisticated mates
Interviews and data reviewed by The Related Press present new insights into the monetary deal, which dangers undercutting the pressure of a few of [GOP Rep. James] Comer’s central arguments in his impeachment inquiry of President Joe Biden. For months, the chairman of the Home Oversight Committee and his Republican colleagues have been pounding Biden, a Democrat, for a way his family members traded on their well-known title to safe enterprise offers.
Count on extra tales like this now that the hypocrisy is on full show.
Nice level:
He’s proper about Chief Jeffries. Then once more:
Tony Michaels and Cliff Schecter on a Trump dictatorship:
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