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By Lambert Strether of Corrente
Chook Tune of the Day
Japanese Meadowlark (Japanese), Lake Wales; Lake Kissimmee State Park, Polk, Florida, United States. “Odd tune sort from conspicuous perch in moist meadow.”
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In Case You Would possibly Miss…
(1) Supreme Courtroom selections (not immunity).
(2) The Debates, pre-game evaluation.
(3) Local weather anecdotes and suggestions
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Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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The Supremes
“Supreme Courtroom rejects problem to Biden admin’s speak with social media firms” [The Hill]. “The 6-3 determination doesn’t handle the First Modification points on the middle of the circumstances and as a substitute denies the problem filed by two Republican attorneys basic and personal events by discovering they didn’t have authorized standing to deliver it. ‘The plaintiffs, with none concrete hyperlink between their accidents and the defendants’ conduct, ask us to conduct a assessment of the years-long communications between dozens of federal officers, throughout completely different companies, with completely different social-media platforms, about completely different conduct,’ Justice Amy Coney Barrett wrote for almost all. ‘This Courtroom’s standing doctrine prevents us from ‘exercising such basic authorized oversight’ of different branches of Authorities.’” • The headline is a bit misleading, for the reason that Courtroom remanded the case to the Fifth Circuit. However I don’t know if the standing subject could be cured.
“Supreme Courtroom sides with Biden administration in social media censorship case” [Washington Examiner]. “However Barrett’s majority flagged a significant error by the events who introduced the case, saying that ‘the plaintiffs’ theories of standing rely upon the platforms’ actions—but the plaintiffs don’t search to enjoin the platforms from limiting any posts or accounts.’… ‘The Fifth Circuit additionally erred by treating the defendants, plaintiffs, and platforms every as a unified complete. As a result of ‘standing isn’t disbursed in gross,’ Barrett stated…. Justice Samuel Alito penned a dissent that was joined by Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch that fully rejected the bulk’s findings. Notably, Alito wrote that Fb’s response to the officers’ ‘persistent inquiries, criticisms, and threats present that the platform perceived the statements as one thing greater than mere suggestions.’ ‘Time and time once more, Fb responded to an offended White Home with a promise to do higher sooner or later. In March, Fb tried to assuage the White Home by acknowledging ‘[w]e clearly have work to do to realize your belief,” Alito added.”
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When is a bribe not a bribe? When it’s a gratuity!
The Supreme Courtroom’s second AND FINAL determination of the day is Snyder v. U.S. By a 6–3 vote, the conservative supermajority additional weakens a federal statute guarding in opposition to corruption in authorities. All three liberals dissent. https://t.co/90GL1SlWUH pic.twitter.com/m5ydrH8ufM
— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) June 26, 2024
2024
Lower than a half a 12 months to go!
Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:
At this level, we should always entertain the speculation that the Bragg verdict is a moist squib, except Biden can someway leverage it within the debate. Swing States (extra right here) nonetheless Brownian-motioning round. After all, it goes with out saying that these are all state polls, due to this fact dangerous, and a lot of the outcomes are throughout the margin of error. If might be fascinating to see whether or not the decision in Choose Merchan’s courtroom impacts the polling, and in that case, how. NOTE Sorry for the surplus crimson dots; I can’t appear to make them go away!
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Trump (R): “Choose Cannon is skeptical that proof from Mar-a-Lago needs to be thrown out” [Politico]. “Choose Aileen Cannon appeared extremely skeptical on Tuesday of Donald Trump’s bid to throw out proof seized from his Mar-a-Lago property. Trump’s attorneys argued at a courtroom listening to that the 2022 search warrant within the categorized paperwork investigation was overly broad and violated Trump’s rights. They stated FBI brokers took medical data and improperly entered the bed room of his son Barron and the quarters of his spouse, Melania. Cannon indicated that she was unpersuaded by the protection’s arguments, saying that the principle subject at hand was whether or not the warrant had been ‘explicit sufficient.’ ‘I feel it’s,’ she stated.”
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Trump (R): “Trump courts rappers as surrogates for his marketing campaign to win extra voters of shade” [NBC]. “At Donald Trump’s Black voter outreach occasion at a Detroit church final weekend, the church’s pastor and a number of other outstanding Black Republicans joined the previous president onstage. So did one other unlikelier determine: rapper Casada Sorrell, higher generally known as Sada Child. Most Republican voters is probably not aware of Sada Child, however there’s an excellent likelihood their youngsters are. In 2020, he went viral along with his single ‘Complete Lotta Choppas,’ a pandemic mainstay on TikTok that was among the many first viral data on the app. Years later, he sat onstage inches from Trump and stated, ‘He is perhaps the primary individual to make me vote,’ fueled partly by the mere indisputable fact that Trump’s workforce reached out to him. ‘Him reaching out confirmed me, like, some sort of effort that one other candidate hadn’t proven ever,’ Sorrell stated, noting that Trump might have pursued a much bigger Detroit title like rapper Eminem (a infamous critic of him)…. And it’s not a one-off transfer. As Trump works to courtroom younger voters of shade, one technique his marketing campaign has pursued is to show rap stars into surrogates, pursuing not solely nationally famend names but additionally smaller acts outstanding of their native communities.”
Trump (R): “Trump praises Louisiana displaying Ten Commandments in public faculties” [Axios]. “‘I like the Ten Commandments in public faculties, non-public faculties, and plenty of different locations,’ Trump wrote in a Fact Social publish Friday. ‘This can be, in reality, the primary main step within the revival of faith, which is desperately wanted, in our nation,’ he added.” • “Our nation.” Trump’s pandering. I’ve to say, I favor the Trump 2016 marketing campaign, a bunch of randos flying in Trump’s airplane, and Trump doing A/B testing on the fly with the crowds.
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Trump (R): “Trump’s Floor Sport Is No Longer In Our Hearts” [The Bulwark]. “For months, Trump was criticized over his small employees and the Republican Nationwide Committee’s layoffs and shuttered subject workplaces. However since Might, his marketing campaign has quietly been in talks with greater than three dozen conservative teams to outsource elements of its voter turnout operation. This is able to be a first-of-its-kind effort…. It could actually all be financed with limitless company {dollars} and untraceable darkish cash from political nonprofits which can be in any other case off-limits to a federal marketing campaign…. This sort of association between federal campaigns and out of doors teams was forbidden, however the guidelines modified beneath a March 20 Federal Election Fee advisory opinion, sought by the Democratic group Texas Majority PAC and the Elias Legislation Group. That opinion might prove to basically change the best way federal political campaigns mobilize voters for years to come back. It was additionally a lifeline to the Trump marketing campaign, which was hurting for money and dealing with President Biden’s mammoth operation, which has 150 subject workplaces, 400 staffers, and an enormous volunteer military throughout the battleground states.’… ‘After the Trump coup on the RNC, the query is whether or not the Trump marketing campaign acquired caught flat-footed and had been fortunate to get bailed out by the FEC, or was this their plan all alongside to roll the cube and work with these teams like Turning Level on the bottom?’ the Republican marketing consultant requested, cautioning that ‘expertise issues. Expertise issues. Group issues. And employees issues. You must rent the fitting folks and never a bunch of what we name ‘carnies’ who you simply can’t depend on.’ In 2022, as an illustration, paid canvassers in Las Vegas had been alleged to be knocking on doorways however as a substitute had been found playing eight miles away at Caesar’s Palace on line casino, in line with an NBC Information report that detailed a number of Republican ground-game issues in Nevada and Georgia.” • Elias Legislation Group, eh? Laborious to imagine they’d deliver a swimsuit that might profit Republicans greater than Democrats. Three days later–
Trump (R): “Donald Trump’s Get-Out-The-Vote Plan is Bonkers” [Washington Monthly]. “The get-out-the-vote operations, the so-called ‘floor recreation,’ might decide the result in November. For this reason it’s bonkers that the Trump marketing campaign has outsourced its floor recreation to far-right operators with no observe document of success…. Turning Level’s popularity as a grifting operation appears deserved. A 2020 investigation by ProPublica discovered that ‘three Turning Level insiders … received profitable offers from the group to deal with its printing, payroll processing and fundraising. The non-profit has additionally made deceptive assertions about its funds to state and federal regulators.’ An October 2023 Related Press investigation discovered: ‘The group additionally enriched [Turning Point CEO Charlie] Kirk and his allies … prime Turning Level officers collected expensive salaries, loved lavish perks and steered at the least $15.2 million to firms they, their mates and associates are affiliated with.’ … In keeping with Politico, Turning Level has crammed ‘a couple of dozen seats on the RNC with allies.’ And Turning Level is now the central participant within the Trump floor recreation.” • Should be extra to it than that, since Lara Trump is now head of the RNC.
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Trump (R): “Right here’s why shy Trump voters really feel protected going public” [FOX]. “Virtually from the second he descended the golden escalator practically a decade in the past, we have now heard inform in regards to the notorious ‘shy Donald Trump voter‘ lurking beneath the floor of public opinion…. From the start, a part of the magic of Trump’s raucous rallies was that so lots of his supporters who couldn’t inform their family and friends had been all of the sudden surrounded by a sea of like-minded Individuals prepared not simply to vote however to social gathering…. However one thing has modified, from people to establishments, the stain of publicly standing up for Trump is all however gone, and instead stands, not a lot defiance, as the straightforward realization that Donald Trump was a reliable president, not a cartoon tremendous villain…. Trump has not too long ago loved high-profile fundraisers from excessive rollers in large oil and large tech who even 4 years in the past might need shied away from such a MAGA highlight. However no extra.”
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Biden (D): “Patrick Lawrence: Hunter Biden’s Cost of Mendacity Beneath Oath” [Patrick Lawrence, ScheerPost]. “Greater than two-thirds of Individuals, in line with a ballot carried out earlier this 12 months, assume the Home hearings ought to proceed; half of those respondents — 34 p.c of these surveyed — ‘assume Joe Biden is responsible of corruption and needs to be impeached.’ These figures can’t land as a shock to anybody who has paid cautious consideration to the Home hearings. Amongst a lot else, they’ve already produced substantive proof establishing in appreciable define the operations of what’s known as, with justification, the Biden crime household: — Funds of $5 million every to Joe and Hunter Biden by Mykola Zlochevsky, the founding chairman of Burisma Holdings, the Ukrainian gasoline firm. Zlochevsky sought (and loved) Vice–President Biden’s safety from Ukraine’s chief prosecutor, who was investigating Burisma on fees on suspicion of in depth corruption. — Gross funds to the Biden household, mainly Hunter and Joe’s brother James, of greater than $20 million in the course of the years (2009–2017) when Joe was vice-president. — A dense community of 20–odd shell firms the Biden household set as much as disguise funds acquired from influence-peddling schemes Hunter carried out in Ukraine, Russia, China and elsewhere. — The detailed testimony, to date not credibly refuted, of presidency investigators — from the F.B.I. and the IRS — offering granular proof of the Biden household’s unlawful monetary operations.” • These are the primary 4 gadgets. There are extra.
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Biden (D): “Black Voters in This Metropolis May Decide 2024. And It’s Not Wanting Good for Biden” [Politico]. Milwaukee. “Polls recommend the president is trailing his 2020 efficiency within the metropolis and surrounding county. In Wisconsin’s April Democratic main, his efficiency throughout the metropolis limits lagged nicely behind the remainder of the state…. In historically Democratic redoubts, polls recommend alarmingly low ranges of assist amongst Black and Latino voters. In 2016, Hillary Clinton’s underperformance in Milwaukee, Philadelphia and Detroit’s Wayne County — the city facilities that energy Democratic fortunes in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan — enabled Trump’s shock Rust Belt victories. This 12 months, indicators of a scarcity of enthusiasm for Biden in these locations amongst Black voters is giving rise to fears of a repeat. In Wisconsin, there isn’t a lot margin of error: The final two presidential elections right here have been determined by lower than 25,000 votes every. A low turnout amongst Black voters in Milwaukee — or a diminished successful margin for Biden — would deal a major blow to his possibilities of carrying the state and its 10 electoral votes.”
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The Debates: “Hillary Clinton: I’ve Debated Trump and Biden. Right here’s What I’m Watching For.” [New York Times]. Clinton shills for her Broadway present proper within the lead. I suppose that was solely to be anticipated. Extra: “I’m the one individual to have debated each males (Mr. Trump in 2016 and, within the 2008 Democratic presidential main race, Senator Biden)…. It’s a waste of time to attempt to refute Mr. Trump’s arguments like in a traditional debate. It’s practically not possible to establish what his arguments even are. He begins with nonsense after which digresses into blather…. These ploys will fall flat if President Biden is as direct and forceful as he was when partaking Republican hecklers on the State of the Union handle in March. The president additionally has info and fact on his facet.” Right here’s the one merchandise that isn’t boilerplate: “Sadly, Mr. Biden begins from an obstacle as a result of there’s no method he can spend as a lot time making ready as I did eight years in the past. Being president isn’t only a day job; it’s an everything-everywhere-all-at-once job. Traditionally, that has led to weaker first debate performances for the incumbent.”
The Debates: “Biden’s high-stakes gamble dangers all the pieces – together with his nomination – as he prepares for Trump debate” [New York Post]. “Together with his job and legacy on the road, Biden seized the second to take every week off to arrange for his debate with Donald Trump.”
The Debates: “Use our presidential debate bingo card to play in the course of the Biden-Trump showdown” [USA Today]. • These don’t seem like a lot enjoyable.
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MO: “Will Cori Bush be ousted like Bowman? New ballot reveals her opponent main by one level” [USA Today]. “The ballot, carried out by The Mellman Group between June 18 and June 22, discovered that St. Louis County Prosecuting Legal professional Wesley Bell overcame a double-digit deficit in January to guide Bush 43% to 42%. 4 p.c of the survey respondents supported different candidates on the poll whereas 11% had been undecided. He has picked up assist throughout numerous teams, the ballot discovered, together with amongst whites and Blacks, women and men and people beneath and over the age of fifty. Bell additionally leads Bush in job efficiency and favorability scores. Sixty-one p.c of survey respondents gave Bell a optimistic score on his job efficiency whereas solely 49% gave Bush a optimistic score. 60% of respondents are favorable in the direction of Bush whereas 64% are favorable in the direction of Bell.” • MOE: 4.9%. That’s loads.
MO: “Cori Bush claimed her religion therapeutic helped a sick toddler stroll, healed girl’s tumors” [FOX]. “In her 2022 autobiography ‘The Forerunner: A Story of Ache and Perseverance in America,’ Bush wrote about her time working as a religion healer. Throughout that point, the New York Put up first reported she claimed that she had an nearly supernatural skill inside her to heal others. One occasion included serving to a disabled toddler to stroll.” • Higher than the Brownstone Institute, I suppose…. Or mainstream macro.
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Litmus take a look at:
Actually, if Jill Stein would not say one thing in regards to the masks ban, I am not voting for her both. As it’s she by no means wears a masks, by no means mentions covid, and he or she’s a DOCTOR. I am sick of it, actually. The identical goes for Cornel and Claudia (who’s a vax and calm down individual, btw).
— Zatara the Magician (@zatara2010) June 25, 2024
Marketing campaign Finance
“Bloomberg shells out tens of millions to assist Biden battle Trump in 2024 presidential election rematch” [FOX]. “Bloomberg, a one-time Republican turned unbiased turned Democrat, wrote an enormous $19 million test to the Future Ahead PAC, generally known as the FF PAC, which is the main tremendous PAC supporting Biden’s bid for a second time period within the White Home. And Bloomberg, who briefly ran unsuccessfully in opposition to Biden for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, additionally gave the utmost donation of $929,600 to the Biden Victory Fund, a fundraising committee that advantages the president’s re-election marketing campaign and numerous Democratic Social gathering committees.”
Republican Funhouse
“Current State Legislative Primaries Reveal a GOP at Conflict with Itself” [Center for Media and Democracy]. “In Idaho, Montana, South Dakota, and South Carolina, obstructionists who’re a part of the State Freedom Caucus Community (SFCN) have fielded Republican main candidates to oppose not simply state legislative leaders, but additionally the candidates they backed. Three of the Republican governors in these states threw their weight behind moderates in contested legislative primaries, however in three states, GOP institution leaders — a majority whip, a president professional tem, and an assistant majority chief — misplaced to those right-wing insurgents. Freedom caucuses in these and the seven different states SFCN lists amongst its members characterize an excessive Proper faction of the largely MAGA-dominated Republican Social gathering that makes use of procedural measures in state legislatures to advance their tradition struggle agenda, because the Middle for Media and Democracy (CMD) not too long ago reported. These caucuses range considerably state by state, however when it comes to coverage they often oppose gender-affirming care, Medicaid growth, most taxation, and permitting public faculties to show in regards to the historical past of racism within the U.S. Most favor rising voting restrictions. They oppose Republicans working with Democrats on any subject, and label any legislators who do as ‘RINOs’… ‘In each state the place they seem, Freedom caucuses trigger complications for the so-called institution Republicans in cost,” in line with a latest piece in Governing.” • Nothing like this on the so-called left, how odd.
Democrats en Déshabillé
“After Bernie” [Ross Barkan, Political Currents]. Concluding paragraph: “[I]t’s unlikely anybody on the left is at the moment able to assembling a nationwide coalition on the size of what Sanders managed in 2016 or 2020. The political situations have modified. Extra importantly, although, few leftist politicians have internalized the teachings Sanders taught, particularly when he rose so quickly in 2016. A successful coalition is a broad coalition. It’s knit collectively across the points that matter to the best variety of folks. It accounts for many who may fail among the stricter ideological litmus exams. It’s skilled, critical, and never held prisoner by on-line tradition. And it’s devised, someway, to grab the Democratic nomination within the method Sanders, even at his strongest, by no means might. Sanders, within the Bronx final week, tried his greatest, hollering in regards to the billionaire class, his voice slicing by means of the warmth. He might solely achieve this a lot, although, not working for president once more—and sans a real protégé.” • Unhappy, and I imply this with out irony. On the Bowman rally with Sanders and AOC:
Okay in addition to what everybody else is saying already, this must be stated by me. It has nothing to do with politics. It’s about being first rate human beings.
If YOU set up an outside occasion in document breaking harmful warmth. YOU provide the water. You don’t say “lol, deliver water” https://t.co/0npo8CRAfT
— thomas 🛠 (@t_NYC) June 22, 2024
Realignment and Legitimacy
“Monbiot has a change of coronary heart on sortition” [Equality by Lot]. With quotes. “Having an advocate for sortition with the prominence of George Monbiot may very well be an essential improvement. However it might be so provided that Monbiot doesn’t restrict himself to a one-off article however moderately makes sortition advocacy a central theme of his activism.”
“Studying Record: Vincent Bevins” [Africa Is a Country]. “To type the core narrative of my second guide, I rely totally on tons of of interviews, carried out in twelve nations, with militants, revolutionaries, politicians, and common individuals who lived by means of explosive uprisings that sought to rework the worldwide system. However to get a way of what occurred from 2010 to 2020, the last decade with essentially the most quite a few protests in human historical past, I additionally learn as a lot as I might over 4 years, in search of out the work of students and members who had mirrored on what went fallacious.” Studying from which the checklist was derived. “Quite a few” doesn’t appear to be equal to “efficient,” sadly. Or am I too cynical?
“What an Precise Child Thinks Concerning the ’10-Yr-Olds at Sephora’ Outrage on TikTok” [Teen Vogue]. “The most recent TikTok drama facilities on “10-year-olds at Sephora.” Search the #sephora hashtag and also you’ll see movies, considered tens of millions of instances, that ask the identical questions Ellie did: What are 10-year-olds doing in Sephora? Why are they so obsessive about skin-care routines once they’re actually kids (and many people older viewers didn’t even begin utilizing moisturizer till our mid-twenties)?… Enter Emma*, who loves Sephora, and was saddened by the variety of movies she noticed on her TikTok For You Web page that disparage youngsters identical to her…. It’s annoying to listen to adults discuss how once they had been 10, they solely cared about Barbies and unicorns. “I’m simply saying, we’re a brand new era and extra folks have proven us all these things,” Emma factors out…. ‘It’s only a factor we do,’ she says with a shrug. ‘I get it, Bratz dolls had been in all probability widespread if you had been 10 years outdated. However I’m a child 1719455007, and that is what’s widespread. That is the brand new toy that we have now. It is a new era, we’re Technology Alpha. And I’m happy with that.’” • Ah, so generational evaluation is pushed by client items. I imply, it was at all times clear the driving force was the advertising division, however now that’s proper on the market. Clarifying!
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Search for the Helpers
Hopefully this can proceed to be authorized:
Can be shifting my masks distribution efforts to the College of Utah and Salt Lake Metropolis 🙂 Hoping to proceed as a COVID Protected Campus ambassador 🤞🏼😷
— Vanessa (commencement period)😷 (@vanessainstem) June 21, 2024
Transmission: Covid
“COVID circumstances on the rise in 39 states, marking the beginning of an anticipated summer season surge” [Scripps]. “The Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention estimates infections are rising or seemingly rising in 39 states. Whereas the company not retains observe of the variety of coronavirus circumstances [Mandy, good job], its newest knowledge relies on emergency division visits and wastewater testing in every state. A lot of the states the place infections are believed to be [not known to be?] rising are alongside the coasts, together with California, Oregon, Washington, Florida, Maryland, Virginia and the Carolinas. Some states within the Northeast, Deep South and Nice Lakes area have additionally been labeled as ‘rising.’ Based mostly on the info, California, Arizona and Florida are experiencing the best proportion of chance for [but not actual?] a rise in infections. The CDC stated there are not any states which can be exhibiting a decline in circumstances, nevertheless, there are some which have a secure quantity together with Alaska, Nevada, Utah, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Iowa, Tennessee, Ohio and Connecticut.” • The framing of Covid as seasonal is relentless. It’s not. And as you’ll be able to see the info is horrible, and the protection is horrible. I want “Desk 1” had been nearly as good because it was, however so many knowledge sources have died (or been killed). Nonetheless, an NC reader who follows it acquired the suitable heads-up method earlier than this story,.
Transmission: H5N1
“Chook flu results in cancellation of 2024 Shiawassee County Truthful dairy present” [WWMT]. “As a result of ‘extremely pathogenic avian influenza,’ or hen flu, organizers with the Shiawassee County Truthful have canceled their 2024 dairy present. This comes after ‘a lot’ deliberation and session with Michigan Division of Agriculture and Rural Improvement, or MDARD, State Veterinarian Dr. Nora Wineland, in line with organizers on Fb.” • Wise.
“USDA finds uncommon twist: Chook flu moved from dairy cows to poultry in Michigan” [The Blade]. ” A workforce of epidemiologists from the U.S. Division of Agriculture have traced the H5N1 viral unfold in Michigan to a single herd of dairy cattle that had been unknowingly launched within the spring to contaminated cows imported from a Texas dairy operation. From there, poultry farmers within the state took the viral hit…. Michigan dairy operators weren’t completely ready for the first-ever soar of the H5N1 avian flu virus to dairy cattle. And poultry operators had been shocked by this never-before-seen vector for transmission. ‘It is a illness in dairies that we have now not had up to now,’ [Tim] Boring [head of the Michigan Department of Agriculture and Rural Development] stated.”
Maskstravaganza
Variants: Covid
Sequelae: Covid
“Antibodies from Lengthy Covid sufferers immediate signs in mice” [Science]. “Within the quest to clarify the signs of Lengthy Covid, one suspect—antibodies within the blood that concentrate on a affected person’s personal tissues—is getting further scrutiny from two groups of scientists an ocean aside. Each teams injected mice with antibodies from the blood of individuals with Lengthy Covid, the constellation of signs that generally persist for months or years after a SARS-CoV-2 an infection. And in sure circumstances, they are saying, the rodents developed signs seemingly mirroring these of their human donors, particularly a heightened sensitivity to ache. Some scientists say these research, one posted earlier this week, bolster the case for a dysfunctional immune system, triggered by a coronavirus an infection, immediately fueling Lengthy Covid signs—and open the door to potential new remedy trials…. However though different researchers stated the research had been elegantly finished, and should provide novel mouse fashions of Lengthy Covid, they’re much less sure in regards to the backside line. ‘There’s no uniform autoantibodies’ in these teams of sufferers, says Avindra Nath, scientific director of the Nationwide Institute of Neurological Issues and Stroke.” • Nonetheless, this means the existence of biomarkers. Perhaps NIH needs to be on the lookout for them—
“Learn how to Repair $1.6 Billion Lengthy COVID Program: Consultants Weigh In” [MedScape]. “When the Nationwide Institutes of Well being (NIH) launched a $1 billion greenback analysis effort in 2021 targeted on lengthy COVID, hopes had been excessive that it might result in some solutions for the mysterious riddle of the complicated situation. Now, greater than 3 years later and with whole funding of about $1.6 billion, critics contend the federal authorities has little to point out for its efforts. Disappointment runs excessive amongst lengthy COVID specialists and sufferers, who cite poor scientific coordination, few remedies that transcend symptom administration, and a scarcity of scientific trials targeted on pharmaceutical interventions.” Extra: “[Grace McComsey, MD, who leads one of the 15 nationwide long COVID centers funded by RECOVER] admitted issues aren’t excellent however stated that RECOVER has enrolled and retained practically 20,000 folks from a particularly various group of sufferers with practically 18 papers which were printed or might be printed quickly. Medical trials don’t occur in a single day, stated McComsey, as a result of you need to design the research, enroll sufferers, and guarantee their security. ‘Nobody else on the earth is doing something like this,’ she stated.” • So papers are the metric?
Elite Maleficence
A minimum of the masks isn’t a “Dishevelled Blue” so some progress is being made. However CDC’s recommendation continues to be fallacious and deadly
Why within the title of all that’s holy is handwashing a “core” prevention technique, and masking “further”? A respiratory virus — observe me carefully, right here, Mandy — is a virus you breathe in (and breathe out). How does handwashing shield in opposition to the first mode of transmission?
And the notes:
[1] It’s 2024, and the CDC appears to not have heard of asymptomatic transmission (which is why your prevention technique needs to be constant no matter signs;
[2] Which added “precautions”? Are “precautions” the identical as “prevention methods”, whether or not “core” or “further”?
[3] 5 days ought to, after all, be at the least 14.
CDC is so dangerous, so silly, so deadly, so persistent in badness, so implacable in stupidity, so efficient in lethality….
Private danger evaluation:
CDC Immunology Webinar pic.twitter.com/zyjycrtwYq
— Outbreak Updates (@outbreakupdates) June 23, 2024
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TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new immediately; all others should not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with sizzling spots annotated.
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.3 dominating.
[4] (ER) That is one of the best I can do for now. A minimum of knowledge for your entire pandemic is introduced.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Now a soar, which is be appropriate with a wastewater lower, however nonetheless not an excellent feeling .(The NY city space has type; in 2020, as the house of two worldwide airports (JFK and EWR) it was an essential entry level for the virus into the nation (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, because the wealthy sought to flee, after which across the nation by means of air journey.)
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). That is one of the best I can do for now. Word the idea that Covid is seasonal is constructed into the presentation. A minimum of knowledge for your entire pandemic is introduced.
[7] (Walgreens) 4.3%; large soar. (As a result of there may be knowledge in “present view” tab, I feel white states right here have skilled “no change,” versus don’t have any knowledge.)
[8] (Cleveland) Nonetheless going up!
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Up. These sh*theads at CDC have modified the chart in order that it doesn’t even run again to 1/21/23, because it used to, however now begins 1/1/24. There’s additionally no technique to alter the time rasnge. CDC actually doesn’t need you to have the ability to take a historic view of the pandemic, or examine one surge to a different. In an any case, that’s why the form of the curve has modified.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) Identical deal. These sh*theads. I’m leaving this right here for an additional week as a result of I detest them a lot:
[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED up.
Stats Watch
There are not any official statistics of curiosity immediately.
* * *
Tech: Go large or go house:
Reminder that Aaron Swartz was dealing with 35 years in jail and monetary devastation for making an attempt to programmatically obtain and open the contents of JSTOR, which led to him taking his personal life.
However OpenAI goes to scrape all of academia and make billions by plagiarizing it.
— UAE Unique Falconry & Finance𓅃 (@FalconryFinance) June 23, 2024
Tech: So now I suppose the insurgents will attempt to recreation the coaching units:
2. McDonald’s – Chat GPT
Precept: The Apparent Selection
McDonald’s asking AI which is essentially the most iconic burger.
It was a Huge Mac. pic.twitter.com/A3y7nvbC4X
— The Advert Professor (@The_AdProfessor) June 26, 2024
Tech: I don’t know who requested for AI both:
pic.twitter.com/1fM9YhrTKC
— Patrick Vicious (@alleywaykrew) June 23, 2024
Tech: “OpenAI says it’s constructing a instrument to let content material creators ‘decide out’ of AI coaching” [TechCrunch]. • “Choose out” is a darkish sample; the default needs to be that customers should decide in.
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At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 41 Worry (earlier shut: 39 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 42 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jun 26 at 1:24:11 PM ET.
Zeitgeist Watch
“Individuals want this ‘important’ cognitive skill—and fewer have it than ever earlier than, says psychologist: ‘It’s a significant concern’” [CNBC]. “‘We’re liable to shedding this important functionality that I name receptivity,’ says Davis, the managing director of Toronto-based management consulting agency Russell Reynolds Associates. ‘It’s the flexibility to have logic, to have perception about folks, and it’s a significant concern.’ Expertise, social media and synthetic intelligence are in charge, Davis provides: Individuals rely a lot on their their telephones that they’re more and more unable to make judgment calls on their very own. ‘It’s a cognitive skill that it’s good to truly train so as to not lose it,’ he says. Davis makes use of GPS for example. Individuals as soon as used bodily maps, or reminiscence, to get to the place they wanted to go. Now, in case your telephone dies, you may end up misplaced extra simply. ‘What occurs when Waze fails? If you don’t have a cell sign? Once we don’t have ChatGPT?’ says Davis. Individuals’s skill to speak to and join with one another is equally in danger, he says. ‘In case your head’s in your telephone, you’re assembly folks by means of Tinder profiles otherwise you’re basing your small business selections primarily based purely on a resume and not likely seeing or spending time with an individual, you’re shedding your core human functionality to have perception into different folks,’ says Davis.” • That “management consulting” rubric provides me pause. However anyhow, what’s the issue? “Perception into different folks” is for gross sales and advertising, and that appears to be going OK!
Local weather
Information you should utilize:
The bubble wrap sticks through static no matter and creates extraordinarily efficient insulation between you and the surface world – inferior to new fancy double pane insulated glass, however fairly rattling good for not a lot cash. Plus it nonetheless permits gentle in and even provides you privateness.
— Josh Ellis (@jzellis) June 25, 2024
Different parallel strategies within the thread.
Ka-ching:
We’re beneath contract to purchase an $8m Louisiana RV park.
The proprietor spent $9,500 every so as to add these covers to shade some pad websites.
Coated websites are $1,150/month.With no cowl it is $670/month.
Payback interval is nineteen months. You higher imagine we’ll be including extra of those! pic.twitter.com/Uj7ZQIdhgO
— Chris Koerner (@mhp_guy) June 22, 2024
Class Warfare
“Colonel Sanders” [Wikipedia]. • The roles Colonel Sanders had! Nothing like this immediately.
Information of the Wired
“Issues You Didn’t Know About GNU Readline” [TwoBit History]. ” A lot of software program will depend on the GNU Readline library to implement performance that customers count on, however the performance is so auxiliary and unobtrusive that I think about few folks cease to surprise the place it comes from. GNU Readline was initially created within the Nineteen Eighties by the Free Software program Basis. At the moment, it is a vital if invisible a part of everybody’s computing infrastructure, maintained by a single volunteer.” • Like a lot else!
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are advantageous! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From Clyde:
Clyde writes: “An outdated apple tree in east central NH. Wanting on the trunk it’s wonderful that it’s not solely nonetheless alive however standing and producing apples. Vegetation and bushes’ efforts to maintain surviving by no means stop to amaze me.”
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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the annual NC fundraiser. So should you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see wherever else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible type. Keep in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common optimistic suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. After I get no donations for 3 or 4 days I get anxious. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising objectives:
Right here is the display screen that can seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:
If you happen to hate PayPal, you’ll be able to e-mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I gives you instructions on how one can ship a test. Thanks!
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