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Fowl Music of the Day
Sage Thrasher, Sierra Valley–Marble Scorching Springs Rd., Plumas, California, United States. “Music together with mimicry. Fowl singing from a fencepost at roadside.” Eight minutes so seize a cup of espresso
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In Case You Would possibly Miss…
Pollsters and polling.
Attending to know Kamala.
Election Trump’s to lose: Is that what he’s doing?
Boeing’s “absurd litany of self-inflicted crises” plus brutal Senate report on whistleblower experiences.
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Search for the Helpers
“Lady, 79, fell whereas climbing. A stranger carried her for hours on his again” [WaPo]. “[Ursula] Bannister arrived on the path round 11 a.m. and made her strategy to the lookout. As she headed again down, she made a misstep, and her foot received caught on a gap within the floor. She fell ahead…. [Troy May and Layton Allen.] two younger males… came visiting to see what was happening. Once they noticed Bannister on the bottom in agony, they instantly made a proposal: They might carry Bannister to the underside of the path… Others pitched in as properly: Shortly into the hike, Might’s boots have been giving him blisters. A person he didn’t know on the path noticed the scenario and gave Might his footwear… ‘I used to be simply overwhelmed with gratitude that these folks actually got here out of the woods to assist me and so they have been completely unselfish and sort,’ [Bannister] mentioned.” • I left a whole lot of element out, all of it encouraging.
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My e-mail handle is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m in search of (and never, say, the Pink Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in truth a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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Trump Assassination Makes an attempt (Plural)
“Aileen Cannon set to supervise obvious Trump assassination try case in Florida” [Politico]. “U.S. District Choose Aileen Cannon — a Trump appointee — was randomly assigned the tried assassination case Tuesday after a grand jury in Miami returned a five-count indictment towards Ryan Routh in reference to the Sept. 15 incident on the Trump Worldwide Golf Membership in West Palm Seashore, Fla.” • Life’s little ironies!
2024
Lower than fifty days to go!
Friday’s RCP Ballot Averages:
As soon as once more, the Democrats should be very puzzled to have digital unanimity throughout the political spectrum that “Harris is the one” — little question there can be one other liberalgasm after Oprah — and but the election is a digital tie. How can this be? Maybe just a few extra Republicans, generals, or celebrities will flip the tide.
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“Key issues to find out about U.S. election polling in 2024” [Pew Research]. “Adjusting on extra variables produces extra correct outcomes, in response to Heart research in 2016 and 2018. A lot of pollsters have taken this lesson to coronary heart. For instance, current high-quality polls by Gallup and The New York Instances/Siena School adjusted on eight and 12 variables, respectively. Our personal polls usually regulate on 12 variables. In an ideal world, it wouldn’t be essential to have that a lot intervention by the pollster. However the actual world of survey analysis will not be excellent.” And: “Preelection polls face one essential problem that routine opinion polls don’t: figuring out who of the folks surveyed will truly forged a poll. Roughly a 3rd of eligible People don’t vote in presidential elections, regardless of the large consideration paid to those contests. Figuring out who will abstain is troublesome as a result of folks can’t completely predict their future habits – and since many individuals really feel social strain to say they’ll vote even when it’s unlikely. Nobody is aware of the profile of voters forward of Election Day. We will’t know for certain whether or not younger folks will prove in better numbers than normal, or whether or not key racial or ethnic teams will achieve this. This implies pollsters are left to make educated guesses about turnout, usually utilizing a mixture of historic information and present measures of voting enthusiasm. That is very completely different from routine opinion polls, which largely don’t ask about folks’s future intentions.” And eventually: “When main information breaks, a ballot’s timing can matter. Public opinion on most points is remarkably secure, so that you don’t essentially want a current ballot about a difficulty to get a way of what folks give it some thought. However dramatic occasions can and do change public opinion.” • Which is why “early voting” in any kind, together with mail-in ballots, is morally improper in a democracy.
“Polling Error in 2016-2020: Look Out for Wisconsin” [Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball]. “To be clear, we don’t know whether or not the polls can be biased persistently someway in 2024. Perhaps Trump can be understated once more: in that case, he’s nearly actually going to win the election given how shut the polls are actually. Perhaps Harris can be understated: in that case, she is in a fantastic place to win provided that she seems to already lead in sufficient states to win 270 electoral votes, albeit barely. Or there is perhaps little bias both method, or inconsistent bias relying on the state, during which case this election can be very arduous to confidently predict based mostly on the present numbers. Polling error will not be essentially constant from 12 months to 12 months—whereas polls understated Trump in 2016 and 2020, the longer-term historical past of polling errors is a little more blended, per this beneficial chart from the Pew Analysis Heart based mostly on American Affiliation for Public Opinion Analysis information. Our greatest guess is that as a result of Trump’s polling place is healthier than 2016 and 2020, it’s likelier that he’s a minimum of not being as underestimated as a lot as he was in earlier elections, if he’s being underestimated in any respect. For one factor, different indicators do not likely recommend that we’re within the midst of an electoral surroundings that’s a lot stronger for Republicans than the previous two elections (these indicators embody particular elections in 2023 and 2024 and the current Washington state top-two major). Whereas Democrats have now nominated three completely different opponents towards Donald Trump, Trump himself can be on the poll for a 3rd straight time. It simply doesn’t appear more likely to us that he’ll do markedly higher than he did in both 2016 or 2020, which is what would occur if the polls have been biased towards him once more. The third installment of the Trump trilogy will seemingly look a good quantity like the primary two installments versus being dramatically completely different; that is why we’ve lengthy anticipated an in depth and aggressive election, with solely the previous few weeks of Joe Biden’s candidacy actually making us significantly contemplate the opportunity of Trump doing considerably higher than his earlier presidential runs. The shut polls recommend an in depth election: That appears practical.”
“Polling Whiplash” [Robert Kuttner, The American Prospect]. “[The indispensable Michael Podhorzer] astutely factors out that each one polling is ‘opinion journalism.’ Why? As a result of pollsters make assumptions about who’s a possible voter and weigh or overweigh completely different demographic teams. ‘The ‘opinions’ aren’t about points or ideology, however about methodological approaches,’ Podhorzer writes.”
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Kamala (D): Kamala’s mom carrying the sari typical of Black ladies of that technology:
I grew up a middle-class child. I used to be raised by a hardworking mom, who like so many individuals throughout our nation, had large desires and aspirations for her youngsters. As president, it is going to be my prime precedence to carry down prices for working households.
Beneath my plan, greater than 100 million… pic.twitter.com/Wz0ElwGbtv
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) September 25, 2024
(To anybody new: I’ve no objection to Kamala’s id, no matter it might be. I do object to Kamala morphing her perceived id to satisfy the wants of the political marketing campaign du jour.)
Kamala (D): “Kamala Harris Wants To Get Out Extra” [Ross Barkan, Persuasions]. “Nonetheless lacking from Harris is any form of formal press convention or the common tv appearances that J.D. Vance, Trump’s working mate, nonetheless makes. She has not allowed for an prolonged interview with any newspaper or journal reporter, both. If she’s visited an area Philadelphia TV station, she hasn’t sat down with the Philadelphia Inquirer, Atlanta Journal-Structure, or any main print-based group in a vital swing state. It goes with out saying she gained’t topic herself to a grilling from the New York Instances editorial board. Oddly, she has even dodged pleasant shops like MSNBC and pundits like Ezra Klein, who would ask probing questions however is essentially sympathetic to her mission…. A part of the rationale the election continues to be shut is that too many People really feel they know too little about Harris. In a current New York Instances/Siena ballot that exposed a dip in her standing for the reason that sugar excessive of the Democratic conference, 28 p.c of seemingly voters mentioned they felt they wanted to know extra about Harris, whereas solely 9 p.c mentioned they wanted to know extra about Trump. ‘I don’t know what Kamala’s plans are,’ Daybreak Conley, a 48-year-old small-business proprietor and undecided voter in Knoxville, Tenn. advised the Instances. ‘It’s type of arduous to decide if you don’t know what the opposite get together’s platform goes to be.’.. Actually, Harris ought to be all over the place. The Sunday morning discuss reveals, the newspaper sitdowns, and formal press conferences are a begin. Podcasts, ethnic media, various media, and regional shops ought to be added to the combo. If she doesn’t crave the mass heterodox viewers of a Joe Rogan, she will spend prolonged time with the aforementioned Klein or Alex Cooper, who has grow to be one thing of the younger millenial/Gen Z Howard Stern.” • For my part, folks have no idea Harris as a result of there’s no person there to be recognized.
Kamala (D): Get out extra, however not like this:
For the reason that look is for an interview, I can’t actually fault Kamala’s marketing campaign for requiring invites, however possibly a public rally on-campus too?
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Trump (R): “2024 Election Atmosphere Favorable to GOP” [Gallup]. The lead: “Almost all Gallup measures which have proven some relationship to previous presidential election outcomes or that talk to present perceptions of the 2 main events favor the Republican Social gathering over the Democratic Social gathering. Chief amongst these are Republican benefits in U.S. adults’ get together identification and leanings, the assumption that the GOP slightly than the Democratic Social gathering is healthier in a position to deal with an important drawback going through the nation, People’ dissatisfaction with the state of the nation, and destructive evaluations of the economic system with a Democratic administration in workplace.” • Useful chart:
Trump (R): “‘He ought to be doing higher’: Even some Trump allies see him veering off beam” [Politico]. “Donald Trump was assembly privately in mid-September with one among his oldest associates, Steve Wynn, when the on line casino mogul and Republican mega-donor delivered the previous president a blunt warning: You’re off message, and it isn’t serving to…. To drive dwelling his level, Wynn confirmed Trump polling and advised the previous president could be higher off specializing in coverage points the place Republicans see his opponent, Kamala Harris, as weak, in response to two folks briefed on the assembly and granted anonymity to explain it. The assembly underscored a key level of pressure contained in the Trump marketing campaign. Whereas polls present the race is extremely shut, a few of Trump’s allies are involved that his impulses and coarse method to campaigning are undermining him towards Harris, a rival who has proved far stronger than his earlier opponent, Joe Biden. In interviews, greater than a dozen Trump allies described the previous president as reaching a crossroads — confronted with the selection of continuous with the missteps which have overtaken the previous a number of weeks of his marketing campaign or embracing a extra calculated method aimed toward interesting to a small subset of undecided voters who’re more likely to sway the result of the election. In current weeks, he has introduced into his fold destabilizing forces like social media provocateur Laura Loomer and his controversial former marketing campaign supervisor Corey Lewandowski, plugged commemorative Trump cash, and asserted that if he loses, Jews could be partly responsible. ‘It’s not that he’s going backwards,’ mentioned one Trump ally granted anonymity to talk freely. ‘However he ought to be doing higher.’” • False dichotomy, to me. It’s not (media-driven) mis-steps vs. calculated method; it’s populist vs. non-populist. If Trump provides the populist method the oomph solely he may give, he wins (and sure, deep six Laura Loomer and the effing cats instantly. Work the grill at MacDonalds. I imply, does anyone suppose these Undecideds are PMC?).
Trump (R): “Haitian group in Springfield, Ohio, information citizen prison prices towards Trump and Vance” [Associated Press]. “The chief of a nonprofit representing the Haitian group invoked a private-citizen proper to file prices Tuesday towards former President Donald Trump and his working mate, JD Vance, over the chaos and threats skilled by Springfield, Ohio, since Trump first unfold false claims about authorized immigrants there throughout a presidential debate. The Haitian Bridge Alliance made the transfer after inaction by the native prosecutor, mentioned their legal professional, Subodh Chandra of the Cleveland-based Chandra Legislation Agency. Fees introduced by personal residents are uncommon, however not exceptional, in Ohio…. State legislation requires a listening to to happen earlier than the affidavit can transfer ahead. As of Tuesday afternoon, none had been scheduled. Trump and Vance, a U.S. senator from Ohio, are charged with disrupting public companies, making false alarms, telecommunications harassment, aggravated menacing and complicity. The submitting asks the Clark County Municipal Court docket to affirm that there’s possible trigger and situation arrest warrants towards Trump and Vance.”
Trump (R): “Donald Trump Has a Plan to Make America’s Kids Wholesome Once more. It’s a Good One” [Robert Redfield, Newsweek]. “In 2019, the Trump Administration set a course to deal with continual illness, funding earlier interventions to curb the rising disaster. 5 years later, this situation is strictly the place it must be: on the middle of the presidential debate, now in a novel partnership. To heal our youngsters, a president should see the attainable and lead our nation to behave. After greater than 40 years within the public well being area, it’d shock a few of my colleagues to know I feel President Trump selected the precise man for the job: Robert Kennedy, Jr…. Kennedy is true: All three of the principal well being businesses endure from company seize. A big portion of the FDA’s funds is offered by pharmaceutical corporations. NIH is cozy with biomedical and pharmaceutical corporations and its scientists are allowed to gather royalties on medicine NIH licenses to pharma. And because the former director of the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention (CDC), I do know the company will be influenced by particular curiosity teams. Nevertheless it doesn’t cease within the well being businesses: the U.S. Division of Agriculture is a captive of trade, too. Created to assist the household farmer and to make sure a healthful meals provide, immediately the company usually favors massive companies over the pursuits of small farmers and the general public’s well being. To treatment our youngsters, we should reevaluate our meals decisions and the underlying practices of the agricultural sector. We should prioritize healthful and nutritious meals.” • A populist alternative right here, too.
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Kennedy (I): Asking for my vote once more:
Zelensky’s solely technique for victory is to embroil us in World Struggle III. And VP Harris is all for it https://t.co/U1Dmlwtx7A
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) September 25, 2024
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NY: “Trump units his sights on deep-blue New York” [The Hill]. “Whereas Trump’s hopes of flipping New York appear lofty, Republicans level to different underlying causes for his visits there, particularly to spice up 4 Home Republicans within the state whose outcomes might resolve which get together controls the Home: Reps. Mike Lawler, Anthony D’Esposito, Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams.” • “Lofty” doesn’t start to explain it.
PA: “Pennsylvania ballot reveals tight presidential race, inflation a key concern” [The Hill]. “Vice President Harris narrowly leads former President Trump within the battleground state of Pennsylvania, in response to a brand new ballot launched by Monmouth College Wednesday. Knowledge confirmed that 40 p.c of voters within the Keystone State mentioned they may undoubtedly vote for Harris, in comparison with 38 p.c who mentioned the identical of Trump. Eight p.c mentioned they’d in all probability vote for the vp, whereas seven p.c mentioned they’d in all probability vote for the previous president, in response to the ballot.”
PA: “In Pennsylvania tour, Trump hits all the precise locations and messages” [Washington Examiner]. “The go to to Kittanning was the second of three stops the previous president made throughout his go to to Western Pennsylvania on Monday. He traversed over 100 miles all through Allegheny, Armstrong, Indiana, and Westmoreland counties. Meandering by means of largely again roads, all alongside the best way, Trump’s motorcade was greeted by hundreds of individuals gathering in entrance of their small cities, suburban bed room enclaves, or standing in entrance of their farms with their tractors or cows, waving Horrible Towels, makeshift Trump indicators, or official Trump-Vance flags. And even alongside the jersey limitations of the halted visitors on the Pennsylvania Turnpike, folks stood on prime of their automobiles or in entrance of them to wave.” • I’d say turnout gained’t be an issue.
PA: Oopsie:
With bit extra time, I’d authenticate the display screen dumps. Nonetheless…
Our Famously Free Press
“George Soros taking ‘shortcut’ to purchase 200 US radio stations, FCC commissioner says” [NBC Montana]. “The transaction, which was reported by The Nationwide Desk in February, would break a rule stopping greater than 25% international possession of U.S. radio stations, [Commissioner Brendan Carr of theFederal Communications Commission] alleges. Regardless of this, Carr claimed the company was expediting its evaluate course of. ‘What we normally do is require folks to file a petition with us, carry within the Nationwide Safety Company to evaluate the international possession—it’s in all probability no large deal right here—however we evaluate that international possession after which we vote,’ Carr mentioned. ‘Right here, they’re attempting to do one thing that’s by no means been executed earlier than at a fee stage.’” • Curious timing.
Realignment and Legitimacy
Firesign Theatre as scorching as ever:
Hat tip to alert reader justme.
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the vegetation. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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Sequelae: Covid
“Publish-hospitalisation COVID-19 cognitive deficits at one 12 months are international and related to elevated mind damage markers and gray matter quantity discount” (manuscript) [Nature]. From the Summary: “We report the one-year cognitive, serum biomarker, and neuroimaging findings from a potential, nationwide examine of cognition in 351 COVID-19 sufferers who had required hospitalisation, in comparison with 2,927 normative matched controls. Cognitive deficits have been international and related to elevated mind damage markers, and diminished anterior cingulate cortex quantity one 12 months after COVID-19. The severity of the preliminary infective insult, post-acute psychiatric signs, and a historical past of encephalopathy have been related to best deficits. There was robust concordance between subjective and goal cognitive deficits. Longitudinal follow-up in 106 sufferers demonstrated a pattern towards restoration. Collectively, these findings help the speculation that mind damage in average to extreme COVID-19 could also be immune-mediated, and will information the event of therapeutic methods.”
“Lengthy COVID and related outcomes following COVID-19 reinfections: Insights from an Worldwide Affected person-Led Survey” (preprint) [Research Square]. ” We developed and disseminated internationally a patient-centered on-line survey inspecting the outcomes of COVID-19 reinfections. The survey included validated devices on fatigue, post-exertional malaise, and bodily operate with questions on COVID-19 an infection historical past, vaccination, and Lengthy COVID signs, together with signs associated to immune and reproductive well being. We examined whether or not the probability of Lengthy COVID and associated outcomes will increase with COVID-19 an infection numbers. Outcomes: Right here we present that reinfections enhance the probability of reporting Lengthy COVID, which elevated 2.1-fold from one to 2 infections. Amongst 3,382 contributors, 22% reported by no means having had COVID-19, 42% skilled it as soon as, and 35% reported reinfections. Relative to those that didn’t report infections or skilled COVID-19 as soon as, reinfections have been related to elevated probability of extreme fatigue, post-exertional malaise, decreased bodily operate, poorer immune well being, symptom exacerbation earlier than menstruation, and a number of different Lengthy COVID signs. Whereas vaccinations and boosters previous to an infection are related to decrease probability of Lengthy COVID, reinfections diminish their protecting impact. The likelihood of reporting Lengthy COVID remission is usually low (11.5%-6.5%).” • Yikes.
Morbidity and Mortality
Only a flu:
Good news! Covid is just 38x worse than influenza to this point in 2024, so it is mainly the identical factor lastly. https://t.co/szq9RJyk2G
— Radical Centrist,wrathful tantric deity🇺🇦🇹🇼🎗️ (@RadCentrism) September 24, 2024
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TABLE 1: Every day Covid Charts
Wastewater
This week[1] CDC September 16
Final Week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):
Variants [3] CDC September 14
Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC September 14
Hospitalization
★ New York[5] New York State, information September 23:
Nationwide [6] CDC August 31:
Positivity
Nationwide[7] Walgreens September 23:
Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic September 7:
Vacationers Knowledge
Positivity[9] CDC September 2:
Variants[10] CDC September 2:
Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC September 14:
Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC September 14:
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new immediately; all others aren’t up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with sizzling spots annotated. Retains spreading. NOTE The date appears to be improper, however the variety of websites has modified so that is new.
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* extremely popular. XDV.1 flat.
[4] (ED) Down, however value noting that Emergency Division use is now on a par with the primary wave, in 2020.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Positively down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what’s, in share phrases, a major enhance.
[7] (Walgreens) Large drop continues!
[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Down. These sh*theads at CDC have modified the chart in order that it doesn’t even run again to 1/21/23, because it used to, however now begins 1/1/24. There’s additionally no strategy to regulate the time vary. CDC actually doesn’t need you to have the ability to take a historic view of the pandemic, or evaluate one surge to a different. In an any case, that’s why the form of the curve has modified.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) What the heck is LB.1?
[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED up.
Stats Watch
There are not any statistics of curiosity immediately.
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Manufacturing: “Boeing provides hanging Machinists union extra time to vote on newest provide” [Seattle Times]. “Boeing Co. backed down from a Friday evening deadline for hanging employees to approve its newest contract provide after union leaders refused to schedule a vote…. The sparring has injected new pressure into the talks at a time when the cash-strapped plane-maker can’t afford an extended, drawn-out strike. Boeing’s techniques have additionally puzzled some longtime observers of the planemaker’s labor relations. ‘It doesn’t make any sense,’ Leon Grunberg, an instructional who’s tracked Boeing labor relations for a quarter-century. ‘I don’t know if it’s a misstep from the CEO or folks additional down.’… Boeing on Tuesday mentioned that it had provided the union extra time and ‘logistical help’ for a vote. It eliminated the Sept. 27 deadline, with out imposing any new timeframe for acceptance of the provide. ‘This strike is affecting our workforce and our communities, and we consider our staff ought to have the chance to vote on our provide that makes important enhancements in wages and advantages,’ Boeing mentioned in an emailed assertion. Union officers have mentioned they wouldn’t schedule a vote on the corporate’s newest proposal, describing it as unrealistic and disrespectful in a fiery assertion posted late Monday.” • Our “workforce.”
Manufacturing: “Placing Boeing employees would really like the corporate to cease negotiating in public” [Quartz]. “‘Our members stand robust, and we stay able to proceed mediated or direct negotiations with Boeing,’ [IAM] mentioned in an replace to members on Tuesday. ‘This has been made clear to each the corporate and our membership. The one strategy to resolve this strike is thru negotiations, and relaxation assured, your Union is not going to discount by means of the media.’”
Manufacturing: “One other unforced error by Boeing is souring the brand new boss’ good vibes” [CNN]. “There’s an previous saying for labor relations, says Artwork Wheaton, director of labor research at Cornell College’s College of Industrial and Labor Relations: ‘You by no means need to negotiate within the press.’ ‘The bargaining workforce is chargeable for negotiating with administration,’ Wheaton mentioned. ‘And what Boeing did is it say, ‘yeah, I don’t care.’ … They only despatched it out to all people.’ He added: ‘I don’t know what their recreation plan is. I feel they have been simply not very shiny on how they did that.’ It’s additionally not clear what function Ortberg performed within the choice to take the provide on to union members and the media. Nevertheless it’s a transparent departure from the diplomatic method the CEO had signaled early on.
‘Everyone thinks unions strike over cash,’ Wheaton notes. However usually, it’s additionally about respect. ‘Clearly Boeing didn’t respect the union on this setup.’ Ortberg got here into the highest job with an enormous benefit: His predecessors have been so overtly hostile towards labor, even small gestures appeared to purchase him some credibility. It’s not too late, in response to Richard Aboulafia, a managing director at aerospace consulting agency AeroDynamic Advisory, who advised me he’s ‘nonetheless hopeful’ Ortberg can proper Boeing’s course, even with an absurd litany of self-inflicted crises enjoying out on the similar time. ‘Diplomacy issues in conditions like this,’ Aboulafia mentioned, including: ‘It’s arduous to inform what’s Ortberg’s errors … and what’s simply Boeing institutional conceitedness.’” • May very well be each!
Manufacturing: “Boeing Staff Felt Schedule Stress Even After Midair Blowout” [Bloomberg]. “In line with the survey carried out with about 2,100 Boeing employees in Might — 4 months after a fuselage panel blew off a 737 Max plane shortly after takeoff — lower than half of frontline manufacturing personnel said that schedule pressures didn’t trigger their workforce to decrease requirements. The revelation reveals that employees continued to really feel strain to chop corners even after Boeing’s marketing campaign to overtake its security tradition was properly underway.”
Manufacturing: “Preliminary Info from the Subcommittee’s Inquiry into Boeing’s Security and High quality Practices” (PDF) [United States Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations]. “Whistleblower experiences spanning greater than a decade increase questions on Boeing’s means to well timed supply and monitor plane elements and be sure that broken or insufficient elements (‘nonconforming elements’) aren’t utilized in plane manufacturing. The monitoring and disposition of plane elements that don’t conform to their high quality or design specs is closely regulated, and prison penalties apply to realizing or intentional falsification, concealment, or materially fraudulent misrepresentation in reference to information documenting the disposition of plane elements.3 Plane producers are required to take care of a written high quality system that features “[p]rocedures to make sure that solely merchandise or articles that conform to their authorised design are put in on a type-certificated product…. In Might 2024, Sam Mohawk, a present [i.e., still alive] Boeing High quality Assurance investigator on the MRSA in Renton, Washington, knowledgeable the Subcommittee that he has witnessed systemic disregard for documentation and accountability of nonconforming elements at Boeing’s Renton facility, the place the 737 MAX is manufactured. On June 11, 2024, Mr. Mohawk filed a declare with the Occupational Security and Well being Administration (‘OSHA’), which is connected as Attachment 1. This criticism has not been beforehand launched publicly. Mr. Mohawk’s present function at MRSA contains dealing with nonconforming elements, work that he alleges turned considerably extra complicated and demanding following the resumption of 737 MAX manufacturing when the FAA licensed the plane to return to service following two crashes in 2018 and 2019. Mr. Mohawk alleges that ‘[c]ompared to pre-grounding, MRSA was experiencing a 300% enhance [of nonconformance reports]’ and that “the 737 program was dropping tons of of non-conforming elements.’ Mohawk feared that non-conforming elements have been being put in on the 737s and that it might result in a catastrophic occasion.” • Yikes!
Tech: Cheeky!
Make a splash with an 🍎 like your Apple by no means has utilizing On the spot Gradual-Mo with Galaxy AI on #GalaxyS24Ultra.
— Samsung Cell US (@SamsungMobileUS) September 13, 2024
Power: “Cometh The Hour” [Doomberg]. This paragraph caught my eye: “A rock-solid adage of enterprise investing is that each one the offers are undersubscribed aside from those which might be oversubscribed. As such, a good-looking residing will be made by merely slipstreaming behind time period sheets negotiated by others when you already know that everyone else is aware of that the underlying startup will quickly increase once more at the next valuation. One needn’t perceive monetary fashions, expertise developments, and even the language embedded within the paperwork signed. Get your self invited into offers that others are wanting to fund, and profitable returns are certain to observe.”
Transport: On the upcoming Longshoreman’s strike:
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At present’s Worry & Greed Index: 67 Greed (earlier shut: 65 Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 60 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 25 at 1:55:41 PM ET.
Permaculture
Kill the garden:
A very good instance of the tokenism that so usually passes for ‘motion’ on biodiversity collapse: a ‘bug lodge’, plonked in a backyard ofa) Sterile lawnsb) Alien vegetation
It is surprising, I do know, however what wildlife *actually* wants is precise wild, pure HABITAT. pic.twitter.com/TY6s6i9Cu6
— Eoghan Daltun 🌍 (@IrishRainforest) September 25, 2024
Class Warfare
“Union accuses Waffle Home of continual wage theft” [Restaurant Dive]. “The Union of Southern Service Staff alleges Waffle Home persistently underpaid employees by illegally claiming a tip credit score on ineligible work. The union filed a wage and hours criticism with the U.S. Division of Labor on Thursday, and requested the DOL take away Waffle Home’s means to take a tip credit score. The united states, an affiliate of Service Workers Worldwide Union, based mostly the criticism on interviews with greater than 20 employees, and alleged the corporate engaged in different types of wage theft. The Strategic Organizing Heart, a labor federation together with SEIU, launched a survey of greater than 400 Waffle Home staff that, in response to a press launch, discovered 90% of surveyed employees skilled one type of wage theft within the final 12 months. Waffle Home didn’t reply to a request for touch upon USSW’s allegations.”
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“Diddy ‘isn’t consuming in jail fearing he’ll be poisoned’ amid claims he saved ‘Epstein-style tapes of Freak Off events’” [The Sun]. “The disgraced rapper is sharing a cell in a New York jail with crypto fraudster Sam Bankman-Fried after his arrest final week.” • Birds of a feather?
“Diddy’s prediction about his wild events from 25 years in the past resurfaces after intercourse trafficking arrest” [Daily Mail]. “The rapper advised Leisure Tonight that he felt at some point he could be arrested for his ‘loopy events.’ His wild fetes – which aren’t to be confused along with his lurid Freak Offs – have been attended by stars like Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lopez, Sarah Jessica Parker in addition to Kim and Khloe Kardashian. ‘You’re gonna hear about my events,’ mentioned the 54-year-old rap mogul as he referred to his star-studded bashes. ‘They’re gonna be shutting them down. They’re gonna in all probability be arresting me, doing all sorts of loopy issues simply ’trigger we wanna have an excellent time,’ Combs added.” • These “fetes” are the “White Events” of the 90s (everybody wears white)–
“Inside Diddy’s debauched star-studded White Events the place medicine have been snorted off our bodies, topless ladies cavorted within the pool and little youngsters have been advised ‘at some point y’all gonna need to come” [Daily Mail]. “However again within the day, earlier than he stood accused of working a ‘prison enterprise’ and was deemed a risk to society and justice, celebrities clamoured for an invitation to Diddy’s era-defining White Events held at his East Hampton dwelling between 1998 and 2009…. In line with former music trade insider Tom Swoope, who has recounted his personal recollections of ‘surviving’ Diddy’s White Events on his YouTube channel, ‘First Off In My Opinion: Story Time’, the events have been separated into ‘tiers’ of entry. There was ‘normal admission’ then a collection of ‘tiers’ ending with entrance to the interior sanctum the place the ‘actual’ partying went on. This allegedly included sexually humiliating female and male visitors on the promise of file offers or cash.” • These “tiers” are attention-grabbing. There’s a rumor floating round that the Obamas attended a Diddy get together; I’m unsure whether or not a fete or a White Social gathering. Assuming each sorts of get together have been structured alongside the identical strains, I feel it’s most unlikely the canny Obamas would have gone anyplace close to the interior sanctum. On the similar time, it’s unlikely that it wasn’t completely apparent what was happening, precisely in the identical method that Epstein bringing younger ladies to therapeutic massage his again at MIT conferences was completely apparent.
“On The Telephone Reside From Jail”:
Former file govt Suge Knight revealed to Chris Cuomo {that a} former Interscope Information worker’s job was to ship underage ladies to artists and employees to have s*x with them, and claimed Diddy has been concerned with the FBI all through his complete profession.
Knight additionally… pic.twitter.com/bFyBU9cfRr
— Shadow of Ezra (@ShadowofEzra) September 25, 2024
Information of the Wired
“How We Kind the World: Gregory Murphy on the Psychology of Classes” [The MIT Press Reader]. “We put an terrible lot of effort into attempting to determine and persuade others of simply what sort of individual somebody is, what sort of motion one thing was, and even what sort of object one thing is. We frequently really feel that after we decide the factor’s class, then all questions can be answered about it: The individual is certified or unqualified; it’s the precise factor to do or the improper factor; the thing should be made out of wooden. However division into classes is usually arbitrary — not utterly, however in some respects. And each class is a simplification to some extent; it throws away details about the factor. In the event you name me an instructional, that’s little question true, however that doesn’t embody a whole lot of different details about me, nor do I correspond precisely to your stereotype of an instructional. (OK, I truly do, however a whole lot of lecturers don’t.) There are a selection of various methods to make classes, and so they don’t at all times agree with each other. Sooner or later, we now have to make a principled choice about what the class is and why that’s one of the best ways to consider it, as a result of the world isn’t pre-divided into good classes that we merely have to note.” • Hmm.
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Contact info for vegetation: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a test in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photos of vegetation. Greens are superb! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary vegetation! If you need your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From ST:
ST writes: “Form of an ‘anti-plantidote,’ however nonetheless a slightly hanging wanting tree. Most likely a western hemlock. Don’t concern the reaper, I suppose.” No matter its species, that tree seems to be slightly droopy.
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