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By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Chook Track of the Day
Japanese Phoebe, Berkeley, West Virginia, United States.”Temperature 8C. Habitat: combined deciduous woods. Distance to sound supply: 12-16 meters. Conduct and different notes: Male Japanese Phoebe singing from excessive perch close to the home at daybreak. Elevation 156 meters. ID’d by sight and sound; ID confidence 100%.”
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In Case You May Miss…
(1) Decide Merchan instructs the jury and deliberations start.
(2) The worst jobs at Disney.
(3) Covid and immune dysregulation.
(4) The world’s oldest dwelling being is a tree.
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Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are in reality a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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2024
Lower than a half a yr to go!
RCP Ballot Averages, Could 24:
Not a superb week for Workforce Trump, with a lot of the Swing States (extra right here) Brownian-motioning themselves towards Biden. Not, nevertheless, Michigan, to which Trump paid a go to, nor essential Pennsylvania. After all, it goes with out saying that these are all state polls, due to this fact unhealthy, and a lot of the outcomes are throughout the margin of error. Now, if both candidate begins breaking away in factors, as an alternative of tenths of a degree…. NOTE I modified the notation: Up and down arrows for will increase or decreases over final week, circles for no change. Purple = Trump. Blue could be Biden if he had been main wherever, however he isn’t.
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Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Trump hush-money-trial jury will get its prices from choose and begins deliberations” [Associated Press]. ” Jury deliberations in Donald Trump ‘s felony hush cash trial started Wednesday after the panel obtained directions from the choose on the regulation governing the case and what they will keep in mind in evaluating the previous president’s guilt or innocence…. After jurors left the courtroom to start deliberations, Decide Juan M. Merchan advised Donald Trump and his attorneys that they had been required to stay within the courthouse. ‘You can’t go away the constructing. We’d like you to have the ability to get right here rapidly if we do obtain a observe,’ Merchan mentioned.”
Lambert right here: There’s a lot an excessive amount of to cowl intimately so, very unfairly, I gained’t be capable to have a look at the Prosecutions 4 hour summation in any respect. In a doomed effort at taking management, I’ll lookd at Decide Merchan’s directions to the jury (they ran from 10:16am to 11:28am) on the next points: Enterprise data falsification, and FECA, election interference, with reporting taken from 4 reside blogs: Related Press, Lawfare, Jonathan Turley, and Interior Metropolis Press; my thought was to select 4 sources to create a kind of quatro-nocular imaginative and prescient of details and interpretation, however they’re multi functional method or one other radically truncated! (There are various extra points — like Cohen as an confederate, accessorial legal responsibility, and “limiting directions” — however these are the problems that appear salient to me. Authorized practitioners are free to counsel totally different subjects and approaches!)
Election interference
Related Press
Merchan went over New York’s regulation in opposition to “conspiracy to advertise or forestall election,” a statute that’s vital to the case. That’s as a result of prosecutors declare that Trump falsified enterprise data in an effort to cowl up alleged violations of the election conspiracy regulation. The alleged violations, prosecutors say, had been hush cash funds that actually amounted to unlawful marketing campaign contributions.
Underneath New York regulation, it’s a misdemeanor for 2 or extra individuals to conspire to advertise or forestall a candidate’s election “by illegal means” if no less than one of many conspirators takes motion to hold out the plot.
The regulation additionally requires {that a} defendant have the intent unlawfully to forestall or promote the candidate’s election — not simply {that a} defendant is aware of concerning the conspiracy or be current when it’s mentioned.
Within the protection’s closing argument Tuesday, Trump lawyer Todd Blanche urged jurors to reject prosecutors’ election conspiracy assertions, insisting that “each marketing campaign on this nation is a conspiracy to advertise a candidate.”
That is the one side of Merchan’s directions that AP covers intimately (!).
Jonathan Turley
Idea of the case
Lawfare
Jonathan Turley
Interior Metropolis Press
Nothing from Interior Metropolis Press on the opposite subjects.
FECA
Lawfare
Justice Merchan reads directions on the Federal Election Marketing campaign Act. Notably, he *contains* the “wilfully” language requested by the protection. (He omits the sentence requested by the protection concerning limits on a candidate utilizing private funds in 2015 and 2016.) pic.twitter.com/i4srW7HgFH
— Anna Bower (@AnnaBower) Could 29, 2024
Word [1]. Learn footnote 9, within the purple field, fastidiously. Certainly the Biden Administration/Marketing campaign’s suppression of the Hunter Biden laptop computer story proper earlier than election 2020 would qualify. So would the 2016 Clinton marketing campaign’s funding, IIRC via Democrat election integrity lawyer Marc Elias, the Steele Report (subsequently used to assist the false submitting to the FISA court docket that enabled the organs of state safety to ingest the Trump marketing campaign. But these offenses had been by no means charged. Odd.
Lambert right here: Holy moley, the artwork of reside running a blog is lifeless. Everybody current within the court docket picks out just a few points of the case (although Lawfare has gotten a duplicate of the proposed directions; little question their flex-net was inspecting them fastidiously). I think, nevertheless, that it is a outcome not of technical incompetence however the scope, complexity, and deviousness of the prosecutions case (which, once more, took 4 hours to elucidate). Presumably, sooner or later within the close to future, I can pull on my yellow waders and make extra sense of all this [lambert hangs head in shame].
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Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “The Cat Is Out of the Bragg” [Andrew McCarthy, National Review]. On Bragg’s FECA materials: “It’s unattainable to attract any conclusion apart from that Manhattan district lawyer Alvin Bragg knew that, as a state prosecutor, his enforcement of federal regulation could be extremely controversial since he has no such authority; the federal businesses that do have such authority investigated Trump and opted to not prosecute; and to get this prosecution finished, Bragg is just making up his personal model of federal regulation. Bragg had the collusion of Decide Merchan, who allowed the state to get away with not placing the “different crime” within the indictment, and rejected protection makes an attempt to drive him to supply specific disclosure pretrial. Prosecutors hid within the tall grass till summation and at the moment are emphatically describing Trump as having blatantly violated federal marketing campaign regulation.” • Fairly proper. Prosecution sandbagging the protection has been one factor that has made this case so complicated (and by design, I’m positive. I don’t assume it’s a coincidence that clarification comes from the bench, not the prosecution; it’s nearly as in the event that they’re working collectively).
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan): “Was D.A. Bragg Proper to Deliver the New York Expenses Towards Trump?” [Lawfare]. “Weighing this proof within the context of the numerous civil frauds Trump has been adjudicated to have dedicated, and the numerous crimes of which his intently held company and most important enterprise colleagues, Weisselberg and Michael Cohen, have been convicted, I’ve been persuaded. District Lawyer Bragg was proper to deliver this case.” • “A” case, maybe. However this case? Bragg has opened the door to deliver felony prices for fraud in opposition to practitioners of extraordinary marketing campaign techniques!
Trump (R) (Bragg/Merchan: “Elise Stefanik Calls for Investigation into Project of Decide Merchan to Trump Case” [National Review]. Moreover the moral violation of Merchan’s household doubtlessly taking advantage of the case, on condition that his daughter is a Democrat consulant, Stefanik makes this level: “‘If justices had been certainly being randomly assigned within the Prison Time period, the likelihood of two particular felony circumstances being assigned to the identical justice is sort of low, and the likelihood of three particular felony circumstances being assigned to the identical justice is infinitesimally small. And but, we see Performing Justice Merchan on all three circumstances,’ the criticism reads. ‘The straightforward reply to why Performing Justice Merchan has been assigned to those circumstances would appear to be that whoever made the task deliberately chosen Performing Justice Merchan to deal with them to extend the possibility that Donald Trump, the Trump Group, and Steven Bannon would finally be convicted,’ the criticism provides.” • Hmm.
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I cannot equivocate — I cannot excuse — I cannot retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; contains many counties; Wastewater Scan, contains drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide knowledge). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Basic Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the deal with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reviews); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
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Airborne Transmission
“Sure, however China can’t innovate”:
A video of AirFanta 4Lite filtrating smokes. 😎 pic.twitter.com/oEeHhig6w5
— Adam Wong (@Engineer_Wong) March 21, 2024
The use case:
To unmask and eat on aircraft just isn’t that secure even there’s robust air flow system. But when the filght is admittedly lengthy, we do not have a lot selection. AirFanta 4Lite will make the fast snack so much safer. It blows filtrated air on to the face for breath. And it’s laminar move,… https://t.co/HUsbDwnzVq
— Adam Wong (@Engineer_Wong) Could 28, 2024
Maskstravaganza
“The Danger of Plane-Acquired SARS-CoV-2 Transmission throughout Business Flights: A Systematic Assessment” [International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health]. PRISMA-based systematic evaluate. N = 50. From the Dialogue: “flight period strongly predicts case incidence. We additionally discovered that when masking is unenforced, every extra hour of flight period is related to 1.53-fold enhance within the transmission incidence charge ratio. We speculate that brief flights could also be safer as a consequence of a shorter complete period of publicity to aerosol particles. Additionally, brief flights usually don’t serve meals, so fewer aerosol particles and droplets are expelled. Curiously, our findings additionally counsel that aircraft-acquired transmission just isn’t inevitable if masking is strictly enforced. On lengthy haul-type flights the place enforced masking occurred and meals had been served, there have been no reported aircraft-acquired circumstances throughout contact tracing and follow-up. Enforced masking could have inspired passengers to eat as rapidly as potential on these lengthy flights. Moreover, airline workers can truly implement masking, just like how workers are in a position to implement security checks corresponding to appropriate table-up and seat up-and-back positions by strolling down the aisles, checking every seat, and correcting behaviors throughout take-off and touchdown…. Past our formal evaluation, we noticed as a focal point that the proximity to the index case(s) was not one of the best predictor of aircraft-acquired transmission [i.e., droplet dogma is a crock, if further evidence were needed]. For instance, on a 2 h flight, one passenger seated 5 rows away acquired COVID; on a 5 h flight, a passenger seated six rows away acquired COVID; and on a 7.5 h flight and a ten h flight, 4 passengers and one passenger who sat higher than 2 m (6 ft) away acquired COVID, respectively…. Flight insurance policies concerning masking based mostly on journey period could change into vital for air journey security in future epidemics or pandemics, notably earlier than efficient vaccines or drugs are made out there.” • However what about my freedom to contaminate innocents by respiratory a pathogen into shared air?
Immune Dysregulation
Numerous immunological dysregulation, power irritation, and impaired erythropoiesis in lengthy COVID sufferers with power fatigue syndrome” [Journal of Autoimmunity]. From the Summary: “A considerable variety of sufferers recovering from acute SARS-CoV-2 an infection current critical lingering signs, also known as lengthy COVID (LC). Nevertheless, a subset of those sufferers displays essentially the most debilitating signs characterised by ongoing myalgic encephalomyelitis or power fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS). We particularly recognized and studied ME/CFS sufferers from two impartial LC cohorts, no less than 12 months submit the onset of acute illness, and in contrast them to the recovered group (R). ME/CFS sufferers had comparatively elevated neutrophils and monocytes however decreased lymphocytes. Selective T cell exhaustion with decreased naïve however elevated terminal effector T cells was noticed in these sufferers…. Intriguingly, we discovered that the frequency of 2B4+CD160+ and TIM3+CD160+ CD8+ T cells fully separated LC sufferers from the [Recovered (R)] group.” • Hat tip, Anthony J. Leonardi?
“Gene Regulatory Community Evaluation of Publish-Mortem Lungs Unveils Novel Insights into COVID-19 Pathogenesis” [Viruses]. From the Dialogue: “Taken collectively, our findings spotlight the essential position of immune dysregulation within the pathogenesis of extreme COVID-19 an infection in lungs and supply priceless insights into potential therapeutic targets for mitigating the deleterious results of COVID-19.” • Hat tip, Anthony J. Leonardi!
Variants: H5N1
“Technical Replace: Abstract Evaluation of the Genetic Sequence of a Extremely Pathogenic Avian Influenza A(H5N1) Virus Recognized in a Human in Michigan” [CDC]. From Could 24: “The genome of the human virus from Michigan didn’t have the PB2 E627K change detected within the virus from the Texas case, however had one notable change (PB2 M631L) in comparison with the Texas case that’s identified to be related to viral adaptation to mammalian hosts, and which has been detected in 99% of dairy cow sequences however solely sporadically in birds. This modification has been recognized as leading to enhancement of virus replication and illness severity in mice throughout research with avian influenza A(H10N7) viruses. The rest of the genome of A/Michigan/90/2024 was intently associated to sequences detected in contaminated dairy cows and strongly suggests direct cow-to-human transmission. Additional, there are not any markers identified to be related to influenza antiviral resistance discovered within the virus sequences from the Michigan specimen and the virus may be very intently associated to 2 present HPAI A(H5N1) candidate vaccine viruses which can be already out there to producers, and which may very well be used to make vaccine if wanted. Total, the genetic evaluation of the HPAI A(H5N1) virus detected in a human in Michigan helps CDC’s conclusion that the human well being threat presently stays low.” • Commentary:
An infection
“Extreme Avian Influenza A H5N1 Clade 2.3.4.4b Virus An infection in a Human with Continuation of SARS-CoV-2 Viral RNAs” [Transboundary and Emerging Diseases]. Case report from China. From the Dialogue: “We report a human case an infection with the clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza A H5N1 virus. This affected person was an previous feminine farmer with a number of comorbidities. The affected person was additionally SARS-CoV-2 optimistic after having COVID-19 on December 20, 2022. Our research offers insights into the importance of surveillance for elevated threat of H5N1 viruses an infection amongst individuals with post-COVID-19 situation…. Prior an infection with SARS-CoV-2 may result in the affected person in a non-full competent immune state, which could play a job in growing her susceptibility to avian influenza virus…. Within the post-COVID-19 pandemic period, sporadic human circumstances with avian influenza A H5N1 virus are potential to happen, particularly among the many inhabitants who skilled or occasional contact with birds or poultry. Energetic surveillance of people following a high-risk publicity to the virus with none PPE safety is strongly really useful.” • Sounds the dairy farms must be doing a little testing…..
Sequelae: Covid
“Neurodevelopmental delay in kids uncovered to maternal SARS-CoV-2 in-utero” [Nature]. From the Summary: “Kids uncovered to antenatal COVID-19 have a tenfold larger frequency of [Developmental delay (DD)] as in comparison with controls and must be supplied neurodevelopmental follow-up.” • I’m positive the pro-natalists will get proper on this.
Elite Maleficence
Who mentioned prevention is healthier than remedy?
Was this the plan?
Let COVID rip around the globe after which privatize each main nationwide healthcare system (UK, Australia, Canada)?
— Valerie Jay (@ValerieJay16) Could 29, 2024
I don’t know if this was “the” “plan.” It definitely was a cheerful end result, and a ripe alternative for rental extraction (see Moderna transferring in on medication for Lengthy Covid).
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Lambert right here: Affected person readers, I’m going to must rethink this superbly formatted desk. Biobot knowledge is gone, CDC variant knowledge features, ER visits are lifeless, CDC stopped necessary hospital knowledge assortment, New York Occasions demise knowledge has stopped. (Word that the 2 metrics the hospital-centric CDC cared about, hospitalization and deaths, have each gone darkish). Ideally I’d change hospitalization and demise knowledge, however I’m undecided how. I may additionally broaden the wastewater part to incorporate (yech) Verily knowledge, H5N1 if I can get it. Recommendations and sources welcome. UPDATE I changed the Occasions demise knowledge with CDC knowledge. Amusingly, the URL doesn’t embody parameters to assemble the tables; one should reconstruct then manually every time. Caltrops abound.
TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new at present; all others usually are not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (Biobot) Lifeless.
[2] (Biobot) Lifeless.
[3] (CDC Variants) FWIW, on condition that the mannequin fully missed KP.2.
[4] (ER) CDC appears to have killed this off, for the reason that hyperlink is damaged, I believe in favor of this factor. I’ll attempt to verify. UPDATE Sure, go away it to CDC to kill a web page, after which announce it was archived a day later. And heaven forfend CDC ought to clarify the place to go to get equal knowledge, if any. I preferred the ER knowledge, as a result of it appeared actually onerous to sport.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Nonetheless going up, although thankfully no signal of geometric enhance. he NY city space has type; in 2020, as the house of two worldwide airports (JFK and EWR) it was an vital entry level for the virus into the nation (and from thence up the Hudson River valley, because the wealthy sought to flee, and across the nation via air journey)
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC).
[7] (Walgreens) Going up.
[8] (Cleveland) Going up.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Up and down.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants) KP.2 enters the chat, as does B.1.1.529 (with backward revision).
[11] Deaths low, however positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED not up.
Stats Watch
Manufacturing: “United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The composite manufacturing index within the US Fifth District elevated to 0 in Could 2024, the very best in seven months, from -7 in April, and in comparison with forecasts of -2.”
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Tech: “Ex-OpenAI board member reveals what led to Sam Altman’s transient ousting” [Business Insider]. “In an interview with Bilawal Sidhu on ‘The TED AI Present‘ that aired Tuesday, Toner mentioned Altman lied to the board ‘a number of’ instances. One instance Toner cited was that OpenAI’s board realized concerning the launch of ChatGPT on Twitter. She mentioned Altman was ‘withholding info’ and ‘misrepresenting issues that had been taking place within the firm’ for years. Toner — one of many board members who voted to kick Altman out — alleged that Altman additionally lied to the board by retaining them in the dead of night concerning the firm’s possession construction. ‘Sam didn’t inform the board that he owned the OpenAI startup fund, although he consistently was claiming to be an impartial board member with no monetary curiosity within the firm,’ she mentioned.” • You say “lied” like that’s a nasty factor.
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At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 54 Impartial (earlier shut: 53 Impartial) [CNN]. One week in the past: 60 (Greed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Could 28 at 12:33:39 PM ET.
Class Warfare
“Rating the Finest And Worst Jobs at Disney” [BBN Times]. “In a brand new research, Disney journey planning consultants MagicGuides analyzed Glassdoor knowledge by assigning every Disney job position a rating out of 100 based mostly on opinions from the positioning…. mechanics are the least happy with their jobs. Their jobs at Disney are sometimes harmful when fixing the rides, particularly with rides like ‘it’s a small world’ the place water is concerned. Mechanics, on common, rated working with Disney as 3.76 out of 5. Scoring simply 23.79 out of 100, mechanics are the least completely satisfied on common working for Disney. These working in Disney’s costume departments are the second least pleased with their jobs. They’ve the bottom approval of the Disney CEO and the way Disney is presently managed. The research revealed that on common working within the costume division scored 23.91 out of 100 for working at Disney. Scoring 28.67 out of 100, development staff are the third least completely satisfied when working with Disney; they’re the least prone to see themselves working with Disney for a very long time. Curiously, lots of Disney’s guest-facing roles rank within the backside half of the record, indicating that staff in these roles could try to make sure that friends have a optimistic expertise even when they themselves usually are not completely satisfied of their roles.” • Sounds about proper; Disney is a smile Nazis paradise.
Information of the Wired
“The oldest tree on the earth: Meet ‘Methuselah,’ a literal hidden gem” [USA Today]. “In accordance with Guinness World Data, the oldest tree species on the earth are the bristlecone pines, discovered within the White Mountains in California. Their scientific title is ‘Pinus Longaeva.’ The world’s oldest dwelling tree is ‘Methuselah.’ The tree’s actual age is unknown, however consultants consider it has been alive for shut to five,000 years, the U.S. Forest Service advised USA TODAY in an electronic mail. Dendrochronologist Edmund Schulman discovered and named the tree in 1957. This bristlecone pine is called after a biblical determine who legend says lived over 900 years. Earlier than that, a geographer in 1964 minimize down one other historic tree, dubbed ‘Prometheus,’ with permission from the Forest Service. It wasn’t till after the tree was minimize down that they realized it was an estimated 4,900 years previous. Bristlecone pines are identified to scientists as ‘extremeophiles‘ as a result of they’re slow-growing and may endure harsh environmental situations, together with chilly temperatures, excessive winds, dry soils and brief rising seasons, in keeping with the USDA. In addition they have tailored to make use of ‘sectored structure,’ which implies their roots solely feed the a part of the tree above them. When one root dies, solely that part dies. The remainder of the tree retains rising across the skeletal components, in keeping with the Nationwide Park Service. … Sure, Methuselah is alive as of Could 2024. In accordance with Nationwide Geographic, scientists consider that is the planet’s oldest single dwelling factor. It’s within the Inyo Nationwide Forest between the Sierra Nevada vary in California and the Nevada border. The U.S. Forest Service retains its actual location beneath wraps to guard the tree from injury or vandalism, the division confirmed to USA TODAY in an electronic mail.”
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Contact info for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a verify in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are effective! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it in the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From GS:
GS writes: “A part of the bromiliad assortment, Flecker Gardens, Cairns QLD Australia.”
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